Watson et al. mathematical modelling study of COVID gene vaccination said that vaccinations prevented 14·4 million (95% credible interval [Crl] 13·7–15·9) deaths from COVID-19 in 185 countries

by Paul Alexander

and territories between Dec 8, 2020, and Dec 8, 2021; Klement et al. then said NO, that this SEIR trained model is flawed and cautions against believing in its predictions; oversimplified the complex

SOURCE:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/368463364_SEIR_models_in_the_light_of_Critical_Realism_-_a_critique_of_exaggerated_claims_about_the_effectiveness_of_Covid_19_vaccinations

What do I think?

I firmly agree with Klement et al. that the SEIR model is dysfunctional and flawed and uninterpretable. That the prediction of the massive mortality benefit is distorted and invalid.

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